Should We Give Livan The Boot?

Many are calling for Jon Niese to take the spot of Livan Hernandez in the Mets rotation, but I say the reason he has been so effective is because of bad luck.

Livan Hernandez in his last 2 starts has allowed 7 ER and 8 ER which is always with any pitcher a cause of concern, but when it is a guy who had been doing well all season, it started to trouble me, why did Livan stop being effective, so I looked into it. The last 2 seasons his BABIP was higher tan his career, which means that he had been getting unlucky, meaning either slow, or bad defense behind was contributing to his high ERA, and more runs allowed. His career BABIP is .311, the last two seasons, it was .347 and this year it was .333, which means that the Mets defense is catching up to balls that Washington, Florida, and San Francisco did, causing him to allow more earned runs, not to mention he faced Philadelphia and Los Angeles, two of the best offenses in baseball.

So why his BABIP higher is lets look. The Mets according to Baseball Prospectus allow the runner to be safe in 30.8% of the time there is a batted ball, which is not good. Furthermore, Wright has struggled, we have had people playing positions they should not be (ex= Fernando Tatis at SS, or Jeremy Reed at 1B).

So I say give Livan a break, and leave him in the rotation.